W. James Antle III, Washington Examiner

Without many realistic pickup opportunities and embattled Republican incumbents nursing leads of 2 to 3 points, the GOP majority looks shaky. But the competitive races would need to break decisively in the Democrats’ favor to give them the required net gain of at least four seats. The Senate has also been impervious to national political dynamics in recent elections. Republicans won the House in 2022, but the two parties split six of the seven tightest Senate races on Election Day, with the seventh going to a runoff.

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